Debt: IMF financing versus
debt-restructuring
27 March 2015
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In the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries, debt crises have plagued low-, middle-, and high-income countries at various times. Indebted countries have generally addressed balance of payments crises either by (a) obtaining International Monetary Fund (IMF) emergency financing; or (b) negotiating debt-restructuring arrangements with creditors.
The evolution of the IMF: who is helped, and under what conditions?
The IMF was primarily used to assist high-income countries experiencing
severe balance of payments problems until the mid-1970s. During the 1980s,
however, high-income countries essentially ceased to use IMF funds, only to
again become reliant on them during the more recent North Atlantic financial
crisis.
One key component of IMF financing has been the requisite conditionality
that accompanies the allocation of emergency financing. Initially, countries
could count on almost automatic funding from the IMF. At the urging of the
United States, however, loans began to be granted with specific conditions in
order to safeguard Fund resources and, in some cases, reflect the interests of
more influential countries. In general, conditionality imposed contractionary
macroeconomic policies on recipient countries.
In the 1980s and 1990s, the effectiveness of the structural adjustment
programmes that had been attached to many loans was called into question.
Concern over conditionality eventually led to much-needed reforms in the 2000s
in which policies were revised to be more macro-relevant and country-specific.
The most important advancement in this area occurred in 2009 with the
elimination of structural benchmarks. This was particularly important as the
stigma of structural conditionality that had been previously attached to IMF
loans was finally removed.
Debt restructuring
While IMF financing is certainly useful for many circumstances,
emergency lending of this type is not always feasible or advisable for two
reasons. First, emergency lending may result in unsustainable levels of foreign
debt. Second, it may generate a moral hazard for creditors involved in the
bailouts, since emergency lending effectively means that official resources are
used to bail out the private sector. Debt-restructuring—the process of
renegotiating debt repayments, and sometimes reducing debt amounts—can
therefore be an important tool to address more deeply entrenched problems with
a country’s balance of payments.
The line between emergency lending and the option for debt-restructuring
has typically been drawn between issues of liquidity and solvency. While
emergency lending is particularly useful for short-term liquidity issues, more
extreme situations of insolvency call for debt-restructurings with both
official and private creditors to overcome serious issues of over-indebtedness.
Proposing a multilateral mechanism to restructure debt
With no official debt-restructuring mechanism currently in place, it is
imperative for some orderly process to be implemented in order to effectively
and equitably manage debts. In order to administer debt workouts, a
multilateral mechanism based on a sequence of voluntary negotiations, mediation
and eventual arbitration with pre-established deadlines could be utilized
(similar to the World Trade Organization’s dispute settlement process). With
such an arrangement, the defaulting country would attempt to reach a voluntary
agreement with creditors across different classes, including official
creditors. In the absence of an agreement, the institution in charge would
attempt to mediate or arbitrate the dispute and would also have the authority
to request that creditors provide new financing for the country undergoing
debt-restructuring.
Such a mechanism could be created as an independent body under the UN
system or, even better, an amendment to the IMF Articles of Agreement could be
ratified to create such a mechanism, so long as the mechanism’s independence
would not be sacrificed. The workout mechanism would ideally act as a single
system for debt relief.
It
would focus primarily on sovereign debts but could, in some cases, also be
utilized for private sector debts that impact the overall balance of
payments. It would also require three complementary mechanisms: an
international registry of debt; a mechanism for creditor co-ordination for
individual renegotiations; and a Sovereign Debt Forum that would involve not
only governments and international institutions but also the private sector
and civil society. The establishment of such a process would greatly improve
the efficacy and equity of debt-restructuring initiatives.
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This Research Brief is the based on the WIDER Working Paper 2015/11 'Resolution of balance of payments crises: Emergency financing and debt workouts' by Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim.
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